Sibs and the maths of Tottenham.
Win rate = 61.54%
61.54% of 38= 23(.4) games won
23 wins = 69 points
61.54% of 114 = 70.2 points
This should be a fourth place finish.
However obviously the teams below are playing at a lower win rate (logically) - so as it stands it should still be good enough for 3rd by the time the points for a few draws are added
Chelsea away to WBA next weekend.
a***nal away to Liverpool
Us home to Man U - can't see too many points for us or the two teams below.
Not including Man Utd we have 5 home games against beatable opposition.
36 points to play
Points to reach secure CL: 72
If you account for a few draws we can afford to lose another 3 games and should still be reasonably comfortable for 3rd/4th without getting sucked in to a fight for 4th
For crunching of numbers keep this page bookmarked.